Best prediction
Home Win
Wanderers vs Progreso
69.9%Confidence
Best odd—
Uruguay · Primera DivisiónLive data
Wanderers
Sat, 11 Jul 2026
2:0
FT
Progreso
1X2 predictionHome Win
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSYes
Correct score2-1
Over 2.5Total goals
64.5%Probability
YesBoth teams to score
71.2%Probability
2-1Correct score
18.8%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
30%
Win rate
20%
1.2
Avg goals scored
0.7
1.3
Avg goals conceded
1.5
60%
Over 1.5
70%
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%
40%
Clean sheets
0%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win69.9%
Draw10.8%
Away win19.4%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
2-026.3%
1-022.6%
2-118.8%
1-116.1%
0-116.1%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Home Win leads the model with 69.9% confidence.
Goals outlook
Over 2.5 is selected at 64.5% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: Yes at 71.2%.
Data sample
10 recent Wanderers matches and 10 recent Progreso matches were compared.