Best prediction
Home Win
Sporting CP vs Alverca
85.1%Confidence
Best odd—
Portugal · Primeira LigaLive data
Sporting CP
Sat, 22 Aug 2026
3:1
FT
Alverca
1X2 predictionHome Win
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSYes
Correct score2-1
Over 2.5Total goals
66.7%Probability
YesBoth teams to score
62.8%Probability
2-1Correct score
21.9%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
80%
Win rate
40%
3.6
Avg goals scored
0.9
1
Avg goals conceded
0.9
100%
Over 1.5
50%
90%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
30%
30%
Clean sheets
30%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win85.1%
Draw3.8%
Away win11.1%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
2-030.6%
1-026.2%
2-121.9%
1-114%
0-17.3%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Home Win leads the model with 85.1% confidence.
Goals outlook
Over 2.5 is selected at 66.7% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: Yes at 62.8%.
Data sample
10 recent Sporting CP matches and 10 recent Alverca matches were compared.