Best prediction
Home Win
Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia
68.1%Confidence
Best odd—
Bulgaria · First LeagueLive data
Spartak Varna
Mon, 17 Aug 2026
0:1
FT
Septemvri Sofia
1X2 predictionHome Win
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSYes
Correct score2-1
Over 2.5Total goals
72%Probability
YesBoth teams to score
67.1%Probability
2-1Correct score
10.7%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
50%
Win rate
40%
2.1
Avg goals scored
1.3
1
Avg goals conceded
1.5
70%
Over 1.5
90%
50%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean sheets
20%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win68.1%
Draw6.3%
Away win25.6%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
2-037.4%
1-032.1%
1-115.3%
2-110.7%
0-14.6%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Home Win leads the model with 68.1% confidence.
Goals outlook
Over 2.5 is selected at 72% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: Yes at 67.1%.
Data sample
10 recent Spartak Varna matches and 10 recent Septemvri Sofia matches were compared.