Best prediction
No Draw
Progreso vs Danubio
75.3%Confidence
Best odd—
Uruguay · Primera DivisiónLive data
Progreso
Sat, 29 Aug 2026
1:0
FT
Danubio
1X2 predictionNo Draw
GoalsUnder 2.5
BTTSNo
Correct score2-0
Under 2.5Total goals
66.1%Probability
NoBoth teams to score
56.3%Probability
2-0Correct score
26.9%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
20%
Win rate
0%
0.6
Avg goals scored
0.5
1.5
Avg goals conceded
1
70%
Over 1.5
40%
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%
10%
Clean sheets
40%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win34%
Draw24.7%
Away win41.3%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
2-026.9%
1-023.1%
0-123.1%
1-119.2%
2-17.7%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
No Draw leads the model with 75.3% confidence.
Goals outlook
Under 2.5 is selected at 66.1% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: No at 56.3%.
Data sample
10 recent Progreso matches and 10 recent Danubio matches were compared.