Best prediction
No Draw
Progreso vs Cerro
79.5%Confidence
Best odd29.00
Uruguay · Primera DivisiónLive data
Progreso
Sun, 13 Sep 2026
1:3
FT
Cerro
1X2 predictionNo Draw
GoalsUnder 2.5
BTTSNo
Correct score0-1
Under 2.5Total goals
55.3%Probability
NoBoth teams to score
52.1%Probability
0-1Correct score
35.9%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
40%
Win rate
50%
0.7
Avg goals scored
0.9
1.1
Avg goals conceded
1.2
50%
Over 1.5
60%
30%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%
30%
Clean sheets
30%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win42.9%
Draw20.5%
Away win36.6%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
0-135.9%
1-121%
2-016.8%
1-014.4%
2-112%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
No Draw leads the model with 79.5% confidence.
Goals outlook
Under 2.5 is selected at 55.3% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: No at 52.1%.
Data sample
10 recent Progreso matches and 10 recent Cerro matches were compared.