Best prediction
Home Win
Leeds vs Newcastle
66.5%Confidence
Best odd2.32
England · Premier LeagueLive data
Leeds
Mon, 14 Sep 2026
4:1
FT
Newcastle
1X2 predictionHome Win
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSYes
Correct score2-1
Over 2.5Total goals
59.5%Probability
YesBoth teams to score
64.9%Probability
2-1Correct score
25%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
50%
Win rate
30%
1.5
Avg goals scored
1.6
0.8
Avg goals conceded
1.6
80%
Over 1.5
100%
30%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%
40%
Clean sheets
20%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win66.5%
Draw3.8%
Away win29.7%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
2-125%
2-021.9%
1-018.8%
0-118.8%
1-115.6%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Home Win leads the model with 66.5% confidence.
Goals outlook
Over 2.5 is selected at 59.5% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: Yes at 64.9%.
Data sample
10 recent Leeds matches and 10 recent Newcastle matches were compared.