Best prediction
Home Win
Ituano vs Ferroviária
58.9%Confidence
Best odd—
Brazil · Serie CLive data
Ituano
Sun, 12 Jul 2026
1:3
FT
Ferroviária
1X2 predictionHome Win
GoalsUnder 2.5
BTTSNo
Correct score1-0
Under 2.5Total goals
72.8%Probability
NoBoth teams to score
60.3%Probability
1-0Correct score
19.5%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
40%
Win rate
50%
1.2
Avg goals scored
1
0.9
Avg goals conceded
0.6
50%
Over 1.5
40%
40%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
30%
40%
Clean sheets
50%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win58.9%
Draw10.7%
Away win30.4%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
0-125.9%
2-022.7%
1-019.5%
1-118.9%
2-113%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Home Win leads the model with 58.9% confidence.
Goals outlook
Under 2.5 is selected at 72.8% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: No at 60.3%.
Data sample
10 recent Ituano matches and 10 recent Ferroviária matches were compared.