Best prediction
Home Win
FC Porto vs Arouca
63.4%Confidence
Best odd—
Portugal · Primeira LigaLive data
FC Porto
Sun, 23 Aug 2026
2:0
FT
Arouca
1X2 predictionHome Win
GoalsUnder 2.5
BTTSNo
Correct score2-0
Under 2.5Total goals
72.8%Probability
NoBoth teams to score
71.7%Probability
2-0Correct score
31.6%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
70%
Win rate
50%
1.3
Avg goals scored
1.6
0.7
Avg goals conceded
0.9
60%
Over 1.5
70%
30%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
40%
50%
Clean sheets
50%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win63.4%
Draw4.1%
Away win32.5%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
2-031.6%
1-027.1%
1-116.1%
2-113.5%
0-111.6%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Home Win leads the model with 63.4% confidence.
Goals outlook
Under 2.5 is selected at 72.8% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: No at 71.7%.
Data sample
10 recent FC Porto matches and 10 recent Arouca matches were compared.