Best prediction
No Draw
Derby vs Cardiff
87.2%Confidence
Best odd—
England · ChampionshipLive data
Derby
Sat, 22 Aug 2026
2:2
FT
Cardiff
1X2 predictionNo Draw
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSYes
Correct score2-1
Over 2.5Total goals
82.2%Probability
YesBoth teams to score
86%Probability
2-1Correct score
30.9%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
30%
Win rate
60%
1.4
Avg goals scored
3
1.6
Avg goals conceded
1.8
90%
Over 1.5
90%
70%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
80%
10%
Clean sheets
10%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win35.8%
Draw12.8%
Away win51.4%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
2-130.9%
0-130.9%
1-117%
2-011.4%
1-09.8%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
No Draw leads the model with 87.2% confidence.
Goals outlook
Over 2.5 is selected at 82.2% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: Yes at 86%.
Data sample
10 recent Derby matches and 10 recent Cardiff matches were compared.