Best prediction
Away Win
Derby vs Birmingham
60%Confidence
Best odd2.18
England · ChampionshipLive data
Derby
Sat, 12 Sep 2026
1:2
FT
Birmingham
1X2 predictionAway Win
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSYes
Correct score1-2
Over 2.5Total goals
62.5%Probability
YesBoth teams to score
71.3%Probability
1-2Correct score
0%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
20%
Win rate
40%
1
Avg goals scored
1.6
1.6
Avg goals conceded
1.1
80%
Over 1.5
80%
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%
10%
Clean sheets
30%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win33.8%
Draw6.2%
Away win60%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
2-121.6%
2-021.6%
0-121.6%
1-018.5%
1-116.7%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Away Win leads the model with 60% confidence.
Goals outlook
Over 2.5 is selected at 62.5% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: Yes at 71.3%.
Data sample
10 recent Derby matches and 10 recent Birmingham matches were compared.