Best prediction
Home Win
Defensor Sporting vs Cerro
70.1%Confidence
Best odd—
Uruguay · Primera DivisiónLive data
Defensor Sporting
Mon, 03 Aug 2026
2:1
FT
Cerro
1X2 predictionHome Win
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSYes
Correct score2-1
Over 2.5Total goals
41.9%Probability
YesBoth teams to score
54.1%Probability
2-1Correct score
11%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
10%
Win rate
30%
0.7
Avg goals scored
0.7
1.3
Avg goals conceded
1.7
80%
Over 1.5
60%
30%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%
20%
Clean sheets
20%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win70.1%
Draw12.7%
Away win17.2%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
0-132.9%
1-120.5%
2-019.2%
1-016.4%
2-111%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Home Win leads the model with 70.1% confidence.
Goals outlook
Over 2.5 is selected at 41.9% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: Yes at 54.1%.
Data sample
10 recent Defensor Sporting matches and 10 recent Cerro matches were compared.