Best prediction
Home Win
Club Nacional vs Progreso
69.9%Confidence
Best odd—
Uruguay · Primera DivisiónLive data
Club Nacional
Sun, 23 Aug 2026
1:0
FT
Progreso
1X2 predictionHome Win
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSYes
Correct score2-1
Over 2.5Total goals
62.1%Probability
YesBoth teams to score
58.8%Probability
2-1Correct score
12.1%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
40%
Win rate
20%
0.8
Avg goals scored
0.7
1.1
Avg goals conceded
1.6
60%
Over 1.5
80%
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%
40%
Clean sheets
10%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win69.9%
Draw7.4%
Away win22.7%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
2-028.1%
1-024.1%
0-118.1%
1-117.6%
2-112.1%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Home Win leads the model with 69.9% confidence.
Goals outlook
Over 2.5 is selected at 62.1% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: Yes at 58.8%.
Data sample
10 recent Club Nacional matches and 10 recent Progreso matches were compared.