Best prediction
Away Win
Charlton vs Derby
62.5%Confidence
Best odd—
England · ChampionshipLive data
Charlton
Sat, 15 Aug 2026
2:1
FT
Derby
1X2 predictionAway Win
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSYes
Correct score1-2
Over 2.5Total goals
58.6%Probability
YesBoth teams to score
67.1%Probability
1-2Correct score
0%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
40%
Win rate
40%
1
Avg goals scored
1.4
1.3
Avg goals conceded
1.4
80%
Over 1.5
80%
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%
30%
Clean sheets
20%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win29.5%
Draw7.9%
Away win62.5%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
0-126.3%
2-020.4%
1-118.2%
1-017.5%
2-117.5%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Away Win leads the model with 62.5% confidence.
Goals outlook
Over 2.5 is selected at 58.6% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: Yes at 67.1%.
Data sample
10 recent Charlton matches and 10 recent Derby matches were compared.