Best prediction
Home Win
Central Espanol vs Progreso
71.8%Confidence
Best odd—
Uruguay · Primera DivisiónLive data
Central Espanol
Sat, 08 Aug 2026
1:0
FT
Progreso
1X2 predictionHome Win
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSYes
Correct score2-1
Over 2.5Total goals
34.5%Probability
YesBoth teams to score
54.1%Probability
2-1Correct score
12%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
40%
Win rate
20%
1
Avg goals scored
0.7
0.7
Avg goals conceded
1.5
50%
Over 1.5
70%
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%
40%
Clean sheets
10%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win71.8%
Draw10.1%
Away win18.2%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
0-135.9%
1-121%
2-016.8%
1-014.4%
2-112%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Home Win leads the model with 71.8% confidence.
Goals outlook
Over 2.5 is selected at 34.5% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: Yes at 54.1%.
Data sample
10 recent Central Espanol matches and 10 recent Progreso matches were compared.