Best prediction
Home Win
Caen vs Bastia
63.2%Confidence
Best odd—
France · Ligue 3Live data
Caen
Thu, 27 Aug 2026
0:1
FT
Bastia
1X2 predictionHome Win
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSYes
Correct score2-1
Over 2.5Total goals
65%Probability
YesBoth teams to score
79.7%Probability
2-1Correct score
21.6%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
50%
Win rate
30%
2.3
Avg goals scored
1.4
1.6
Avg goals conceded
1.8
80%
Over 1.5
80%
70%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
50%
30%
Clean sheets
30%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win63.2%
Draw3.6%
Away win33.3%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
2-030.2%
1-025.9%
2-121.6%
1-114.2%
0-18.1%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Home Win leads the model with 63.2% confidence.
Goals outlook
Over 2.5 is selected at 65% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: Yes at 79.7%.
Data sample
10 recent Caen matches and 10 recent Bastia matches were compared.