Best prediction
Home Win
Brighton vs Aston Villa
61%Confidence
Best odd—
England · Premier LeagueLive data
Brighton
Sun, 23 Aug 2026
4:0
FT
Aston Villa
1X2 predictionHome Win
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSYes
Correct score2-1
Over 2.5Total goals
82.2%Probability
YesBoth teams to score
78.8%Probability
2-1Correct score
25%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
50%
Win rate
50%
1.7
Avg goals scored
2.3
1.2
Avg goals conceded
1.6
70%
Over 1.5
100%
70%
Over 2.5
100%
30%
BTTS
80%
50%
Clean sheets
20%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win61%
Draw4.6%
Away win34.3%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
2-125%
2-021.9%
1-018.8%
0-118.8%
1-115.6%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Home Win leads the model with 61% confidence.
Goals outlook
Over 2.5 is selected at 82.2% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: Yes at 78.8%.
Data sample
10 recent Brighton matches and 10 recent Aston Villa matches were compared.