Best prediction
Home Win
Benfica vs Aarhus
74.6%Confidence
Best odd—
World · UEFA Europa LeagueLive data
Benfica
Thu, 20 Aug 2026
3:1
FT
Aarhus
1X2 predictionHome Win
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSYes
Correct score2-1
Over 2.5Total goals
87%Probability
YesBoth teams to score
82.5%Probability
2-1Correct score
29.5%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
60%
Win rate
40%
3.3
Avg goals scored
1.7
1
Avg goals conceded
1.6
100%
Over 1.5
100%
80%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
60%
30%
Clean sheets
30%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win74.6%
Draw4.4%
Away win21%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
2-129.5%
2-025.9%
1-022.2%
1-113.1%
0-19.3%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Home Win leads the model with 74.6% confidence.
Goals outlook
Over 2.5 is selected at 87% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: Yes at 82.5%.
Data sample
10 recent Benfica matches and 10 recent Aarhus matches were compared.