Best prediction
Home Win
Arouca vs Moreirense
80.1%Confidence
Best odd—
Portugal · Primeira LigaLive data
Arouca
Sun, 16 Aug 2026
4:0
FT
Moreirense
1X2 predictionHome Win
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSNo
Correct score3-0
Over 2.5Total goals
55.6%Probability
NoBoth teams to score
50.8%Probability
3-0Correct score
0%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
40%
Win rate
20%
1.3
Avg goals scored
1.4
1.1
Avg goals conceded
1.8
70%
Over 1.5
90%
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%
40%
Clean sheets
20%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win80.1%
Draw5.8%
Away win14.1%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
0-133.1%
1-119.7%
2-116.5%
2-016.5%
1-014.2%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Home Win leads the model with 80.1% confidence.
Goals outlook
Over 2.5 is selected at 55.6% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: No at 50.8%.
Data sample
10 recent Arouca matches and 10 recent Moreirense matches were compared.