Best prediction
Home Win
Alverca vs Estrela
69.2%Confidence
Best odd—
Portugal · Primeira LigaLive data
Alverca
Sat, 15 Aug 2026
2:2
FT
Estrela
1X2 predictionHome Win
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSYes
Correct score2-1
Over 2.5Total goals
48.9%Probability
YesBoth teams to score
62.8%Probability
2-1Correct score
24.2%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
50%
Win rate
40%
0.9
Avg goals scored
1.7
0.8
Avg goals conceded
1.2
50%
Over 1.5
80%
20%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
60%
30%
Clean sheets
40%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win69.2%
Draw5.1%
Away win25.7%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
2-124.2%
0-124.2%
2-018.8%
1-116.8%
1-016.1%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Home Win leads the model with 69.2% confidence.
Goals outlook
Over 2.5 is selected at 48.9% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: Yes at 62.8%.
Data sample
10 recent Alverca matches and 10 recent Estrela matches were compared.