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Netherlands · Eredivisie
Live data

Ajax

Tue, 15 Sep 2026
5:1
FT

Willem II

1X2 predictionNo Draw
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSYes
Correct score2-1
Best prediction
No Draw

Ajax vs Willem II

91.6%Confidence
Best odd15.00
Other key markets
Over 2.5Total goals
83.3%Probability
Odds1.21
YesBoth teams to score
75.5%Probability
Odds1.80
2-1Correct score
24.3%Model confidence
Odds
Team comparison
AjaxBased on last 10 matches
Willem IIBased on last 10 matches
10
Matches analysed
10
70%
Win rate
30%
3.1
Avg goals scored
1.3
1.5
Avg goals conceded
2
100%
Over 1.5
90%
90%
Over 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
80%
20%
Clean sheets
10%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win50.3%
Draw8.4%
Away win41.3%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
2-028.4%
1-024.3%
2-124.3%
1-113.9%
0-19.1%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal

No Draw leads the model with 91.6% confidence.

Goals outlook

Over 2.5 is selected at 83.3% model probability.

BTTS outlook

Both teams to score: Yes at 75.5%.

Data sample

10 recent Ajax matches and 10 recent Willem II matches were compared.