Best prediction
Away Win
Ajax vs Excelsior
55.9%Confidence
Best odd—
Netherlands · EredivisieLive data
Ajax
Sat, 19 Sep 2026
18:00
NS
Excelsior
1X2 predictionAway Win
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSYes
Correct score1-2
Over 2.5Total goals
88%Probability
YesBoth teams to score
75.5%Probability
1-2Correct score
0%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
70%
Win rate
70%
3.3
Avg goals scored
2.8
1.5
Avg goals conceded
1.2
100%
Over 1.5
100%
90%
Over 2.5
90%
80%
BTTS
70%
20%
Clean sheets
30%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win41.6%
Draw2.5%
Away win55.9%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
2-135.4%
2-020.7%
1-017.7%
0-113.3%
1-112.9%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Away Win leads the model with 55.9% confidence.
Goals outlook
Over 2.5 is selected at 88% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: Yes at 75.5%.
Data sample
10 recent Ajax matches and 10 recent Excelsior matches were compared.